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MANIFOLD
Will Joe Biden tank his "statement on Supreme Court's immunity ruling" on July 1st?
28
Ṁ1kṀ13k
resolved Jul 3
Resolved
NO
statement starts

Resolves YES if either

  1. At least one of New York Times, Wall Street Journal, The Economist, or New Yorker reports by end of July 3rd that this public appearance reaffirmed concerns about Biden's age.

    • Such reporting only counts if I feel the article's author agrees with the 'reaffirmed concerns' opinion

      • This disqualifies articles where the writer is just presenting a wide range of quotes or opinions without taking a stance.

      • An article is however qualified to resolve YES if its primary focus is quotes of 'public concern', even if the author doesn't explicitly state agreement.

  2. or https://electionbettingodds.com/DEMPrimary2024.html shows Biden dropping back down below 60% chance of nomination in the 2 hours after the start of the appearance

I will not trade in this market since resolution will be somewhat subjective with the interpretation of news articles.

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https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/01/us/politics/biden-address-trump-supreme-court.html

> The president appeared ruddier than he did during the 90-minute debate, when many observed that he looked very pale. He did not stumble over his words on Monday or falter midsentence. But he was using a teleprompter for the remarks, which lasted about four and a half minutes.

This supports a NO resolution so far, but I will wait the full two days before resolving.

bought Ṁ50 NO

Betting NO. Biden has already proved he can read a teleprompter and reminding us that will only be a positive.

Didn't he once read the instructions out as if they were lines? "Repeat the phrase" or something

I’m Joe Biden?

@traders I specified the resolution criteria further per feedback on discord