Will I do at least 12 (of 16) items on my todo list by the end of the day?
Resolved
YES
Jun 13
M$335 bet
I have a todo list with 16 uncompleted items on it. This resolves YES if I complete 12 or more of those items. Tasks range in complexity from accomplishable in <2 min to ~30 min

💬 Proven correct

bcongdon
Ben bought M$25 of YES
Update: I’ve done 8 of the 16 so far (did most of the quick tasks)
0
Ben made M$17!
bcongdon
Ben is betting YES at 86%
Finished 15 of the 16 -- 3 more than the goal 🎉
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bcongdon
Ben bought M$10 of YES
Now up to 11 of 16. No easy tasks remaining, but feeling pretty confident given I only have to do 1 more to reclaim my mana. (Next time I'll set a more aggressive goal, perhaps)
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bcongdon
Ben bought M$25 of YES
Update: I’ve done 8 of the 16 so far (did most of the quick tasks)
0