This market asks which political party or electoral coalition will win Argentina’s 2027 presidential election.
The market will resolve to the political party, alliance, or electoral coalition under which the winning presidential ticket is officially registered for the 2027 Argentine presidential election.
If no candidate obtains the required threshold to win in the first round and a second-round runoff (balotaje) is held, the market will resolve according to the winner of that runoff.
Resolution source: The market will be resolved using the official final election results published by Argentina’s electoral authorities, principally the Cámara Nacional Electoral (National Electoral Chamber) and the competent electoral authorities.
Coalitions and party changes: If multiple political parties form an electoral alliance before the election, that alliance will be treated as a single political entity for purposes of this market. The relevant classification will be the official name and composition of the electoral alliance under which the winning presidential ticket is registered, rather than the individual party membership of its candidates.
Timing: The market concerns the presidential election scheduled for 2027. The market will remain open until the election has been officially held and the final result has been certified. If the electoral calendar is officially modified, the market will follow the legally established election date.
Sources: Official election results and electoral information published by the Cámara Nacional Electoral and the Argentine government will take precedence over media reports, opinion polls, prediction markets, or unofficial projections. The CNE maintains official records of political parties, electoral alliances, candidates, platforms, and election results.
Sources
Argentina Government — National Elections
1. LLA-led coalition — La Libertad Avanza (LLA), the political movement associated with President Javier Milei and generally identified with libertarian, economically liberal, and right-wing politics. This outcome also includes any formal electoral coalition in which LLA is the leading political force for the presidential ticket.2. Peronist-led coalition — The Peronist/Justicialist political movement, including the Partido Justicialista (PJ) and other parties or alliances that officially identify themselves as Peronist and form part of the presidential ticket. This includes broader electoral coalitions led by Peronist forces, regardless of their specific name.
3. PRO-led coalition — Propuesta Republicana (PRO), the political party historically associated with Mauricio Macri and generally identified with center-right politics, including any formal electoral coalition in which PRO is the leading political force for the presidential ticket.
4. FIT-U / Left-wing coalition — The Frente de Izquierda y de Trabajadores–Unidad (FIT-U) and any successor or expanded electoral alliance formed around the same political space. This includes its constituent left-wing parties, such as the Partido de los Trabajadores Socialistas (PTS), Partido Obrero (PO), Izquierda Socialista (IS), and Movimiento Socialista de los Trabajadores (MST). This outcome refers to the socialist/anticapitalist left-wing political space rather than Peronism.
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