Resolution criteria

This is a poll-style market. It will resolve to the candidate option that receives the plurality of votes from Manifold users at the time of market close.

• In the event of a tie between two or more candidates, the market will resolve proportionally (split) among the tied options.

• The answers list is fixed and no further candidates can be added.

Background

The next Argentine general election is scheduled to take place on October 24, 2027. Incumbent President Javier Milei has confirmed his intention to seek re-election for a second term.

The potential field of candidates and influential political figures includes:

• Javier Milei: The incumbent libertarian president representing La Libertad Avanza (LLA).

• Axel Kicillof: The left-wing Governor of Buenos Aires Province, widely viewed as a leading figure for the Peronist opposition.

• Sergio Massa: The former Minister of Economy and the runner-up in the 2023 presidential election.

• Mauricio Macri: Former President of Argentina (2015–2019) and leader of the PRO party.

• Patricia Bullrich: The current Minister of Security and 2023 presidential candidate.

• Myriam Bregman: A prominent legislator representing the Left and Workers' Front (FIT-U).

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