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MANIFOLD
ARG government shutdown before 2028?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ71
2027
30%
chance

This market resolves YES if, before January 1, 2028, 00:00 UTC, Argentina's national government formally suspends non-essential government operations due to the lack of an approved budget or legal spending authority.

Resolution sources (in order of precedence):

  1. Official Argentine government publications (Boletín Oficial, Casa Rosada, Ministry of Economy, etc.)

  2. Reuters

  3. Associated Press (AP)

  4. Bloomberg

  5. La Nación

  6. Clarín

  7. Infobae

This market resolves NO if a shutdown is only proposed or discussed, if legislation authorizing such a mechanism is passed but no shutdown occurs before the deadline, or if there are budget cuts, agency closures, layoffs, strikes, or other government disruptions unrelated to a formal suspension of non-essential government operations.

Market context
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