At what market cap will Mos exit?
Basic
8
Ṁ5932030
78k
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to the market cap of Mos (mos.com) at the end of the first day of public trading. If Mos is acquired, the market resolves to the publicly reported acquisition price or merger value at the day the merger/acquisition is announced, including both cash and stock.
If the company shuts down, this market resolves to 0.
If Mos has not had an exit by the end of the 2020s, this market resolves to N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@AndrewHyer EV for HIGHER at current marginal rate would be -0.9735 (265%*1%-1), and for LOWER would be 0.584 (160%*99%-1). So you LOWER has positive EV, given those probabilities.
It's fixed payout, so it doesn't matter if you expect it to end at $1M or $1B with 1% chance.
Related questions
Related questions
At what market cap will Manifold Markets exit?
80m
At what market cap will Cruise exit?
1b
At what market cap will Discord exit?
12b
At what market cap will Carta exit for?
At what market cap will spellbound.io exit?
12m
What will Apple's market cap be by EOY 2024
Conditional on a 2024 IPO, what will Reddit’s market cap be at the end of the year?
At what market cap will Figma exit?
14b
Will this market > 50% by the EOY 2024?
49% chance
At what market cap will Notion exit?
36b