Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if the President of the United States makes an official public statement regarding Ukraine by 23:59 UTC on January 11, 2026. An official public statement includes remarks made during press conferences, official speeches, written statements released through official White House channels, or social media posts from the President's official accounts. The statement must directly address Ukraine, its conflict with Russia, security guarantees, peace negotiations, military aid, or related policy matters. Statements made by other administration officials do not count; only direct statements from the President qualify.

Background

The United States backed security guarantees for Ukraine at a Paris summit on January 7, 2026, with U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner attending alongside America's top general in Europe. A bilateral security agreement between Washington and Ukraine is "essentially ready" for President Trump's approval. Trump recently stated in an interview with The New York Times that he believes Russia will not invade Ukraine again.

Considerations

Given ongoing diplomatic negotiations and recent high-level U.S. involvement in Ukraine-related discussions, statements from the President on this topic have been relatively frequent in recent days. However, the specific timeframe of a single day (January 11) makes this a narrow window for resolution.