Will Olaf Scholz win the vote of confidence?
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This market will resolve YES if Olaf Scholz wins the vote of confidence in the German Bundestag on December 16, 2024. It will resolve NO if he loses the vote. If no vote of confidence happens this year, this market resolves NO. If no vote of confidence happens on December 16th, but on another date this year, this market will resolve based on the result of that vote.
Scholz must secure a majority to win the vote of confidence.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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