COMRADES!!! THERE IS STILL A CHANCE!!! WE CAN DO THIS!!!

453M so now need 7M in under 32 days

Slight sign of increase in rate: 7 days for last million down from 9 days.

It only needs to decline a further similar amount to a little under 5 days for a million.

@Jack0 Would you like some more NO?

@Quroe no

☝️The dice are cast. Limit order is up for 1 hour.

@121 @johnNZOy If either of you two are interested in the mana I'm leaving on the table here, my doors are open to negotiate a loan.

@121 I have a better price for you up now at 27% if you would like to show some more commitment to the cause. Up for about 1 hour.

@Quroe im broke

COMRADES!!! WE STILL HAVE ANOTHER MONTH!!! WE CAN DO THIS!!!

yt algroithm please 🙏 🙏

@121 I am currently not subscribed to Mr. Beast. I offer my services for a negotiable fee.

MrBeast says on Twitter that recent videos have been bad... And he's going to fix it next year

I'm out

@JTBooth dont lose hope comrade!

@121 Comrade, we won't!

COMRADES SUBSCRIBE TO MR BEAST

@121 I will, comrade.

Ok listen I know I look like a huge dummy on this market right now, but if he finishes November at this rate of a million per 8 days or so, he'll only need seven million in December. He's had 3 million sub months before, the next month was ten million.

What I'm saying is I have a limit order at 20% and I think you probably should not trade with me

@JTBooth which month was this?

@bagelfan march 2023, 3 million subs. April 2023, 10 million.

@JTBooth my 20% limit order sold and I'm in for another thousand at 18%, so help me I will go down with this ship

@JTBooth we can keep walking down! More at 15! 😂

@JTBooth I’m pretty sure your data source is wrong on this

@bagelfan well that's chilling, thanks for the heads up, I shall seek alternatives

@JTBooth There are just so many different ways to look at the data. eg March 2023 is 3rd month of decline starting Dec 2022 before something happens to increase subscriber growth. Similarly June July Aug 2023 at 8 million then Sept 7 million before a rise to 19 million in October. There aren't any 2 months declines then a substantial jump up? (Oct 2024 is up after 2 declines but only by 2 million.) So should we expect a poor December before a rise in Jan?

Your method and the one described above seem like pattern spotting nonsense on inadequate data to me. Monthly bins probably also don't help because it can tend to hide when changes in rates occur.

Rate required is over 1M every 5 days. Latest rate 9 days to last 1M or 4M in last 30 days. Why use anything other than latest rate info?

Well, seasonal patterns could be relevant but Dec 2024 was lower than Nov 2024, Dec 2023 was same as Nov 2023 and these are more recent and so more relevant than a relatively big increase in Dec 2022. Anyway 3 different directions in 3 years suggests there is not a significant seasonal pattern to take account of.

So why use anything other than latest rate info? It seems like it may be the best info available. If an increase in rate doesn't happen soon, you will shortly be requiring a doubling in the rate and that seems fairly unlikely. I should note that average rate over last year is probably just about sufficient but assuming immediate return to that average rate seems pushy to me.

My conclusion, it is still an open question. Certainly less than 50% but I wouldn't push it down to 10% yet.

@ChristopherRandles good chat want to buy my 15% limit?

@JTBooth I have answered by selling some of my no holding, 15% too low for me.

@ChristopherRandles sorry, above comment was a bit dismissive of me 😔. I basically bought all the way down from 70 as the growth rate has held steady at a million per week the whole time.

I think rate variability is reasonable - his videos have a range of like 10x in views, I think there's a good shot he'll release a banger before Christmas. Or maybe I'll lose my house 🙃