Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if Claude AI experiences no partial or major outages during November 12-18, 2025, according to its official status page at https://status.claude.com/.

On November 18, 2025, check the status page for any incidents marked as "Investigating," "Identified," "Monitoring," or "Resolved" with severity indicating a partial or major outage during this period. Minor performance degradation affecting a small percentage of users does not qualify as a partial outage. The market resolves NO if any incident meeting the partial or major outage criteria is reported during this timeframe.

Background

Claude's status page provides real-time and historical data on system performance, including incident reports categorized by severity level. Anthropic maintains this page to communicate service disruptions to users.

Considerations

The distinction between minor degradation and partial outages can be subjective. Use the status page's own severity classifications as the primary guide—if Anthropic labels an incident as partial or major, it counts toward a NO resolution regardless of perceived impact.