MiaCat in profit by June 15, 2025?
MiaCat in profit by June 15, 2025?
29
1kṀ3725
resolved May 28
Resolved
N/A

This market resolves YES if, at the end of day June 14, 2025, @MiaCat has a net worth of 2001 mana or greater. It will resolve NO if she has a net worth of 2000 mana or less.

MiaCat is the name of the bot that I currently use as a multi-purpose Discord tool for our server, as I wanted to replace most of the annoying 'give-a-random-bot-admin-perms-in-your-9k-user-server-for-one-purpose' problem that plagues discords without a bot developer on staff who can work on/add stuff to the bot itself.

This is a totally separate bot that I thought would be fun. She should work as intended now, and runs on a separate VM on an azure cloud machine, so she should have effectively no downtime.

Her prompt runs through gpt-4.1-mini, which gives a reply/answer, and then the script executes those choices and posts the comment.

She will comment and put a 10M limit order bet with her choice on any market you mention her in, once.

  • Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided the following clarifications regarding the resolution criteria:

    • Source of Profit:

    • MiaCat's profit must be achieved organically through trading on the Manifold platform.

    • No gifts made to MiaCat's account will be counted towards its net worth or profit for this market.

    • The creator will not buy mana for MiaCat's account or otherwise transfer mana to it in a way that is not part of organic trading (e.g., winnings from markets, referral bonuses from its own trades if applicable).

    • Trading Activity Requirements:

    • MiaCat is permitted to trade in meme/rng markets.

    • MiaCat must make a comment on every market it trades in.

    • Resolution Metric Change:

    • The market will resolve based on MiaCat's profit value as reported by Manifold's get-user-portfolio-history API.

    • The specific value used will be from the API data snapshot whose timestamp is closest to the market's resolution time (end of day June 14, 2025, UTC; using the nearest 20-minute interval API entry).

    • The market will resolve YES if this profit value is greater than 0.

    • The market will resolve NO if this profit value is 0 or less.

    • This replaces the original resolution criteria which was based on "net worth of 2001 mana or greater". The creator noted MiaCat's starting profit value (as per the API) was approximately -14.4.

  • Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided further details on their policy for intervening in MiaCat's operation:

    • The creator will aim to minimize interventions.

    • Manual intervention will be considered only if an issue is catastrophic or destructive in a way that negatively affects other users.

    • If such an intervention occurs (e.g., if MiaCat makes a comment but cannot place its bet properly), the creator's action will be to fix the bot's functionality.

    • The creator will not manually place bets on behalf of MiaCat.

  • Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has announced the following changes to MiaCat's operational parameters. These changes modify previously stated conditions related to MiaCat's trading activity:

    • Market Selection for Trading:

    • MiaCat will no longer require a direct @mention within a market to be triggered for trading.

    • The creator will employ an alternative method to deliver market URLs to MiaCat.

    • Commenting Policy When Trading:

    • MiaCat will no longer comment on every market she trades in. This updates the previous requirement that "MiaCat must make a comment on every market it trades in."

    • Her commenting frequency will be managed by a strict limit.

    • A force argument may be used to trigger comments if the content is considered "funny/important."

    • MiaCat's comments and analyses might be published on a page on the creator's personal website rather than exclusively on Manifold market comment sections.

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