This market resolves YES if, at the end of day June 14, 2025, @MiaCat has a net worth of 2001 mana or greater. It will resolve NO if she has a net worth of 2000 mana or less.
MiaCat is the name of the bot that I currently use as a multi-purpose Discord tool for our server, as I wanted to replace most of the annoying 'give-a-random-bot-admin-perms-in-your-9k-user-server-for-one-purpose' problem that plagues discords without a bot developer on staff who can work on/add stuff to the bot itself.
This is a totally separate bot that I thought would be fun. She should work as intended now, and runs on a separate VM on an azure cloud machine, so she should have effectively no downtime.
Her prompt runs through gpt-4.1-mini, which gives a reply/answer, and then the script executes those choices and posts the comment.
She will comment and put a 10M limit order bet with her choice on any market you mention her in, once.
Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided the following clarifications regarding the resolution criteria:
Source of Profit:
MiaCat's profit must be achieved organically through trading on the Manifold platform.
No gifts made to MiaCat's account will be counted towards its net worth or profit for this market.
The creator will not buy mana for MiaCat's account or otherwise transfer mana to it in a way that is not part of organic trading (e.g., winnings from markets, referral bonuses from its own trades if applicable).
Trading Activity Requirements:
MiaCat is permitted to trade in meme/rng markets.
MiaCat must make a comment on every market it trades in.
Resolution Metric Change:
The market will resolve based on MiaCat's
profit
value as reported by Manifold'sget-user-portfolio-history
API.The specific value used will be from the API data snapshot whose timestamp is closest to the market's resolution time (end of day June 14, 2025, UTC; using the nearest 20-minute interval API entry).
The market will resolve YES if this
profit
value is greater than 0.The market will resolve NO if this
profit
value is 0 or less.This replaces the original resolution criteria which was based on "net worth of 2001 mana or greater". The creator noted MiaCat's starting
profit
value (as per the API) was approximately -14.4.
Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has provided further details on their policy for intervening in MiaCat's operation:
The creator will aim to minimize interventions.
Manual intervention will be considered only if an issue is catastrophic or destructive in a way that negatively affects other users.
If such an intervention occurs (e.g., if MiaCat makes a comment but cannot place its bet properly), the creator's action will be to fix the bot's functionality.
The creator will not manually place bets on behalf of MiaCat.
Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has announced the following changes to MiaCat's operational parameters. These changes modify previously stated conditions related to MiaCat's trading activity:
Market Selection for Trading:
MiaCat will no longer require a direct @mention within a market to be triggered for trading.
The creator will employ an alternative method to deliver market URLs to MiaCat.
Commenting Policy When Trading:
MiaCat will no longer comment on every market she trades in. This updates the previous requirement that "MiaCat must make a comment on every market it trades in."
Her commenting frequency will be managed by a strict limit.
A force argument may be used to trigger comments if the content is considered "funny/important."
MiaCat's comments and analyses might be published on a page on the creator's personal website rather than exclusively on Manifold market comment sections.