Will the Sealand Oil Platform still be standing by February 2026?
13
Ṁ1kṀ1.8kresolved Feb 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If it's still standing but in a seriously bad state of repair then this resolves to percentage based on how bad the damage is. Which would be somewhat subjective. 75% for no facilities, 50% for rotting and somewhat dangerous to explore, 25% for a ruin.
I have sold my stake and will not bet further.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ55 | |
| 2 | Ṁ45 | |
| 3 | Ṁ12 | |
| 4 | Ṁ11 | |
| 5 | Ṁ5 |
Sort by:
The platform has been around since 1942, or in other words for the past 81 years (see the English Wikipedia article, which is only partly cited but enough that I don’t really worry).
People are also trading
Related questions
Will we see a destroyed tanker in the Straight of Hormuz by mid 2026?
33% chance
Will Rystad's Gulf energy infrastructure repair estimate exceed 65 billion on June 30, 2026?
8% chance
Will Rystad's Gulf energy infrastructure repair estimate exceed 28 billion on June 30, 2026?
93% chance
Will Rystad's Gulf energy infrastructure repair estimate exceed 35 billion on June 30, 2026?
88% chance
Will Rystad's Gulf energy infrastructure repair estimate exceed 45 billion on June 30, 2026?
98% chance
Will Sealand be officially and unambiguously recognized by another country before October 2029?
5% chance
Will the Titanic II be seaworthy by EOY 2029?
17% chance
Will the UK Government reverse its current stance by approving at least one new North Sea oil & gas licence in 2026?
51% chance
Will the Eiffel Tower still be standing on June 30th, 2036?
96% chance
Will ocean station pioneer survive by eoy2028
50% chance