Will a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories from 2025-2028 inclusive? | Manifold

Will a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories from 2025-2028 inclusive?

4

Ṁ100Ṁ55

2029

46%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Korean-American or other Korean diaspora counts.
See here for base rate:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Korean_Nobel_laureates_and_nominees

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