Will an open source LLM (Vicuna, Alpaca, etc.) exceed ChatGPT interest by 2030?
2
90Ṁ70
2030
59%
chance

Models open sourced by large AI shops count as open source.

If OpenAI open sources ChatGPT, this market resolves to whether another open source model exceeds ChatGPT interest.

Addendum: interest is defined as search volume on Google trends. I'll use eg. "chatgpt model" and "Vicuna model" to distinguish between models and animals that share the same name as the models: https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=now%201-d&geo=US&q=Chatgpt%20model,Vicuna%20model&hl=en

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