Will Myanmar's junta be overthrown by the end of 2024?
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resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Will resolve YES if the junta loses control of 2 of the 3 largest cities.

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Wars
Asia
Myanmar (Burma)
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Created a version of this for "before 2026":

/RemNi/will-myanmars-junta-be-overthrown-b-a4fbad9a7207

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c0600jgey2po

According to this map (not sure what's the source behind), the opposition armed groups now control abut half of the country after the start of Operation 1027: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Myanmar_Civil_War_(2021-present)_after_Operation_1027.png

predictedYES

@adssx Certainly possible this will translate into loss of major cities, but well over 50% of the population is still governed by the Tatmadaw.

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