Resolution criteria
This market resolves to the winner of the Farrer by-election, triggered by Sussan Ley's announcement of her retirement from politics after losing the Liberal leadership on 13 February 2026. The candidate who wins the most two-candidate-preferred votes will be declared the winner. Resolution will be determined by the official results published by the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) at https://www.aec.gov.au/. If there is a need for a recount, this market will not resolve until the results of the recount are official.
I (and only I) can and might add new answers, but a bet on "other" automatically includes any answers added after the bet. I will only add answers that look particularly promising.
Close date is indicative only. I will try to resolve promptly after an official winner is declared by the AEC.
I will not trade in this market.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ5,641 | |
| 2 | Ṁ3,607 | |
| 3 | Ṁ115 | |
| 4 | Ṁ39 | |
| 5 | Ṁ36 |
People are also trading
I think market creators should trade their markets when it's something simple to resolve - like an election (for future markets - don't go against the rules on this one).
Especially for some of these less popular election markets, we need as many traders as possible to set the prices more accurately. A lot of this is about having fun and being more accurate - not making manifold bucks =)