Update 2026-11-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A deferral does not count as getting in, even if accepted later.
1,000DEFERRAL DOES NOT COUNT AS "GET INTO" EVEN IF THEY GET IN.
please understand that this manifold market is merely for speculation and recreation. do not let personal affinity or animosity toward an individual influence wagers. for bettors, bet pragmatically, based on how their profile would be evaluated by admissions officers. for viewers, do not take offense. view this as constructive criticism/feedback, and as a means of gauging how much you may need to prioritize your essays and other yet-to-be-determined/finalized factors. ultimately, we, the bettors, are not reputable authorities capable of reliably predicting the inherently uncertain outcomes of college admissions.
request a new answer (new bet) by talking to me (andrew qian). it is MANDATORY that consent is obtained prior. if someone wishes to have themselves removed from the bets, likewise talk to me. please refrain from derogatory commentary or attacks.
an answer marked with "tentative" may not have consent and therefore may be removed/closed at any time.
MAKE AN ACCOUNT THROUGH GOOGLE THROUGH THIS LINK: https://manifold.markets/home?r=YW5kcmV3bXFpYW45MTU3Mg
(my referral)
CHANGE PFP TO PURE BLACK, DISPLAY NAME TO "anonymous" (ALL lowercase, no caps, nothing else. no quotes either), AND USERNAME TO @anonymousXXXXX (5 and ONLY 5 RANDOM digits) IF YOU WANT TO BE ANONYMOUS. after all, anonymity thrives in homogeneity.
to change, click on pfp and then settings gear in top right. you may then freely change the last 5 digits whenever.
DEFERRAL DOES NOT COUNT AS "GET INTO" EVEN IF THEY GET IN.
please understand that this manifold market is merely for speculation and recreation. do not let personal affinity or animosity toward an individual influence wagers. for bettors, bet pragmatically, based on how their profile would be evaluated by admissions officers. for viewers, do not take offense. view this as constructive criticism/feedback, and as a means of gauging how much you may need to prioritize your essays and other yet-to-be-determined/finalized factors. ultimately, we, the bettors, are not reputable authorities capable of reliably predicting the inherently uncertain outcomes of college admissions.
request a new answer (new bet) by talking to me (andrew qian). it is MANDATORY that consent is obtained prior. if someone wishes to have themselves removed from the bets, likewise talk to me. please refrain from derogatory commentary or attacks.
an answer marked with "tentative" may not have consent and therefore may be removed/closed at any time.
MAKE AN ACCOUNT THROUGH GOOGLE THROUGH THIS LINK: https://manifold.markets/home?r=YW5kcmV3bXFpYW45MTU3Mg
(my referral)
CHANGE PFP TO PURE BLACK, DISPLAY NAME TO "anonymous" (ALL lowercase, no caps, nothing else. no quotes either), AND USERNAME TO @anonymousXXXXX (5 and ONLY 5 RANDOM digits) IF YOU WANT TO BE ANONYMOUS. after all, anonymity thrives in homogeneity.
to change, click on pfp and then settings gear in top right. you may then freely change the last 5 digits whenever.