Will at least one major player divest* fully from proprietary AI and pivot to fusion research/infrastructure by 2026?
Basic
9
Ṁ2012026
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
*Divest from further development of proprietary AI, at least until some energy generation threshold is met.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?
38% chance
Will at least 15 top-100 universities have a faculty-led technical AGI safety effort by the end of 2024?
31% chance
Will at least 25 top-100 universities have a faculty-led technical AGI safety effort by the end of 2024?
28% chance
Will open-source AI win (through 2025)?
33% chance
Will a major tech company announce a significant new AI regulation compliance feature by the end of 2024?
55% chance
Will a consumer-grade autonomous AI be released by an established tech firm by the end of 2024?
20% chance
Will OpenAI have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
52% chance
Will at least 25 nations collaborate to develop and enforce unified AI development standards internationally by 2035?
78% chance
Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
46% chance
Will any company form a defensible moat around LLM-based AI before 2025?
17% chance