Will Trump commute the sentence of Ross Ulbricht before his Presidency ends in 2028?
Basic
9
Ṁ3542028
85%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"And if you vote for me, on Day One, I will commute the sentence of Ross Ulbricht," Trump promised at a speech before the Libertarian National Convention on May 25, 2024. Ross Ulbricht is the founder the Silk Road, an online marketplace that was used a wide diversity of products, including illegal drugs.
If Trump commutes the sentence of (or pardons) Ross Ulbricht before the scheduled end of his second Presidency on Jan 20, 2028 for charges related to his role as the creator and operator of the Silk Road, this will resolve as YES. Otherwise, it will resolve as NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
If elected, will Trump commute the prison sentence of Ross Ulbricht?
70% chance
Will Ross Ulbricht be pardoned or have his sentence commuted to time served before March 2025?
77% chance
Will Trump pardon any of the convicted “J6ers” before 2028?
66% chance
Trump will pardon Ross Ulbricht by 3/1/2025
64% chance
If Trump gets elected, will he free Ross Ulbricht?
85% chance
[Metaculus] Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?
31% chance
Will Joe Biden pardon Donald Trump before leaving office?
7% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030?
24% chance
Will Trump spend any time in prison before he dies?
26% chance
Will the U. S. President pardon Donald Trump by February 2025?
24% chance