Will there be an “October Surprise” in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Manifold

Will there be an “October Surprise” in the 2024 Presidential Election?

45

1kṀ5738

Nov 6

4%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market will resolve YES if a major news outlet claims that there has been an October Surprise.

🇺🇸 US Politics

🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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bought Ṁ20 YES

https://fortune.com/2024/11/02/election-odds-donald-trump-lead-kamala-harris-madison-square-garden-rally-electoral-votes/

October surprise: Trump just blew a huge lead, and the Madison Square Garden rally started the drop, says top data scientist

Miller's numbers show a jaw-dropping swing to Harris that would have seemed unimaginable two weeks ago.

bought Ṁ250 YES

It has begun https://archive.md/2024.10.01-215645/https://www.ft.com/content/7bc3be5f-e97c-476d-8c07-e2c25808b921

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