Baseline for comparison

The New York Times article (link) published on November 25, 2025 highlighted President Trump’s reduced public appearances, later scheduling, apparent signs of fatigue, and age-related health discussions, prompting his public backlash.

Resolution

• Resolves YES if, before December 31, 2026, a major news outlet (e.g., New York Times, Washington Post, Wall Street Journal, Reuters, AP, The Atlantic, ProPublica, BBC) publishes a report that:

  1. introduces new, specific evidence of more cognitive decline (e.g., expert assessments, documented behavioral patterns, or new medical disclosures not previously covered in the 2025 NYT article), and

  2. credibly documents tighter controls on Trump’s access or schedule (e.g., shortened or limited unscripted engagements, aides restricting access, internal scheduling changes attributable to capacity rather than strategy).

• Resolves NO otherwise.

For the resolution evaluation, I'll use 3 different LLMs (ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude) and use this prompt (majority wins):

Compare the Nov 25, 2025 New York Times article on Trump’s age and health with the newer article. Determine whether the newer article presents materially stronger or more specific evidence of cognitive decline and increased internal restrictions on Trump’s access or schedule. Answer YES or NO, and briefly justify your decision based on concrete differences in reporting.