Will Apple show an AR headset (like Apple Glasses) by the end of 2023?
62
227
1.1K
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Will Apple publicly showcase an Augmented Reality headset by the end of 2023? Must have transparent optics, a camera passthrough VR/MR device does not count.

Jan 9, 12:51am: Will Apple show an AR headset by the end of 2023? → Will Apple show an AR headset (like Apple Glasses) by the end of 2023?

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bought Ṁ50 of NO

Again, this market is about the rumored Apple Glasses AR headset, NOT the Reality Pro MR headset.

sold Ṁ98 of YES

@ahalekelly Facepalm. Thanks. Confusingly this other market has essentially the same name ("Will Apple release an AR headset in 2023"), but is asking about actually releasing a product, and the product can either be AR or MR.

predicted NO

@Gabrielle sorry, you're right that is pretty confusing. I updated the title of this market to clarify. Here's a M$100 Manalink for people who mistakenly bet based on this: https://manifold.markets/link/T8n6bjb1

predicted YES

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2023-01-08/when-will-apple-launch-the-reality-pro-mixed-reality-headset-apple-2023-devices-lcnfzkc7

With the current plan, Apple could introduce the device to consumers — likely under the name Reality Pro — and then get developers up to speed on its software features in June. On this timeline, the company would then ship the product later in the fall of 2023. 

predicted NO

@Gabrielle doesn't that just say Apple is releasing a VR/MR headset, which we already knew? Which would not make this market resolve Yes.

predicted YES

@ahalekelly It sounds like they have an i sider saying that it’s likely in the next year, so I updated towards YES, but it’s not a certain thing.