2026 Oregon governor race margin of victory?
1
Ṁ325Ṁ432027
3.1 %
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
10%
Below -3%
5%
-3.5% to -1.5%
5%
-1.5% to -0.5%
5%
-0.5% to 0%
5%
0% to 0.5%
5%
0.5% to 1.0%
5%
1.0% to 1.5%
5%
1.5% to 2.0%
5%
2.0% to 3.0%
7%
3.0% to 4.5%
11%
4.5% to 6.5%
30%
Above 6.5%
For purposes of this market, the MOV is defined as the Democratic party candidate's (currently Tina Kotek) popular vote percentage less the Republican candidate's (currently Christine Drazan) popular vote share.
Resolution will use official final vote counts, not media-reported rounded margins. In the highly unlikely event of an exact bucket boundary result, the higher bucket will be chosen.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000