Will the economic gap between the USA and Western Europe be greater in 2030?
20
99
390
2030
61%
chance

This will be resolved based on the percentage difference in GDP per person in US dollars at purchase power parity (PPP).

I define Western Europe as something like the EU prior to the admission of Poland (minus Greece, plus Switzerland, Norway), but I don't expect to litigate the concept; the economies are highly correlated and the big countries will drive the result.

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bought Ṁ10 of YES

Would be nice to have this for every 2 year period til then, too

The Economist is banging this drum a lot

raw difference or % difference?

bought Ṁ5 of YES

@SemioticRivalry good question, % difference

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