Resolution criteria
The market resolves to YES if Kylian Mbappé scores 3 or more goals in a single match for the French men's national football team during the international window spanning September 25 to October 5, 2026.
The scheduled matches during this window are:
September 25, 2026: Turkey vs. France
September 28, 2026: Belgium vs. France
October 2, 2026: France vs. Italy
October 5, 2026: France vs. Belgium
If Mbappé does not score 3 or more goals in a single match (during regular or extra time) in any of these fixtures, the market resolves to NO.
Goals scored in penalty shootouts do not count toward the goal total.
If Mbappé does not feature in any or all of these games due to illness, injury, or non-selection, the market will still resolve based on his actual output (resolving to NO if he does not score a hat-trick).
If all four scheduled matches are postponed or canceled such that France plays zero matches during this window, the market will resolve to N/A.
Source of truth: Official UEFA match reports (UEFA Nations League) or reputable sports databases such as Flashscore and ESPN.
Background
France is entering a new era under newly appointed manager Zinedine Zidane, who took over following the 2026 World Cup. The upcoming international break features a congested schedule of four UEFA Nations League fixtures in just 11 days. Zidane has confirmed that Mbappé will remain the team's first-choice captain. However, Mbappé's availability for the opening matches of this window has been cast into doubt after he missed early training sessions at Clairefontaine due to flu-like symptoms.