Will the Jonas Gahr Støre government survive until the 2025 elections have been completed?
2
37
70
2025
80%
chance

If Støre (or the entire cabinet) vulnetarily leaves the goverment (Regjering), or the goverment is compelled to leave after a vote of confidence (kabinettspørsmål) or forced to leave due to a vote of no confidence (mistillitsforslag) before a new parliment (Storting) is formed after the 2025 elections, this market will resolve as "NO"

If Støre is not the prime minister on the day of the formation of a new parliment for any other reason, but a successor government using the same government platform exists without Støre as the prime minister, the market will also resolve as "NO" as it will no longer be the Støre government.

Expansion or downsising to inclue or exclude other parties from the goverment does not affect the question, as long as Støre remains the prime minister.

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