Will Joe Biden's approval rating exceed 40% in the next Reuters/Ipsos poll?
16
closes Oct 7
68%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ14 +46%
New probability
69% +0.9%
The market will resolve YES if Joe Biden's approval rating is higher than 40% following the next monthly update to the Biden approval tracker conducted by Ipsos and published by Reuters.
The market will resolve NO if Joe Biden's approval rating is reported as 40% or lower in the next update after trading opens.
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Related questions
Conditional on Biden winning, on the Monday before the election, will Manifold give him >=80% chance?
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Ṁ70
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Ṁ16
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Ṁ14
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Ṁ9
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