Will Joe Biden's approval rating exceed 40% in the next Reuters/Ipsos poll?
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Ṁ1.5kresolved Oct 11
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The market will resolve YES if Joe Biden's approval rating is higher than 40% following the next monthly update to the Biden approval tracker conducted by Ipsos and published by Reuters.
The market will resolve NO if Joe Biden's approval rating is reported as 40% or lower in the next update after trading opens.
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I've resolved nine markets to date, and despite them all being roughly 50-50, they've all resolved NO. Surely not ten times in a row? Surely Biden's approval rating won't be 40% or lower? Well, my friends, Biden's approval rating in the new Reuters/Ipsos poll is exactly 40%. Does 40% exceed 40%? No. So, for the tenth time in a row, I get to say "this market resolves NO."
Archive link: https://archive.is/7Xcpv
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