Background
Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelensky has signed bill №12414 into law, sparking concern for the independence of Ukraine's anti-corruption bodies.
Resolution principles
It will be presumed that an event has not occurred until it is established to have occurred.
In the event that the resolution of the market is subjective or contentious, traders will be properly consulted.
Glossary
EU refers to the European Union.
KIIS refers to the Kyiv International Institute of Sociology.
Rating (with an uppercase R) refers to Rating Group.
Razumkov refers to the Razumkov Centre.
The Ukrainian parliament refers to the Verkhovna Rada.
Clarifications
An 'anti-corruption protest' will include any protest related to this law.
The 'trust rating' of a person or institution is calculated by each polling organisation, but generally refers to the combined percentage of respondents who say that they completely trust or rather trust the person or institution.
The 2024 edition of the Corruption Perceptions Index was published in 2025, and likewise, the 2026 edition may be published in 2027.
I will not trade in this market.
1,000@MaxA it's unfortunate that the fieldwork spans 23 July to 4 August – it was in the middle of that period that he agreed to roll back most of the reforms. It would've been interesting to have a poll conducted right before the backflip (and another one after it)
oops, I hadn't finished reading
At the same time, during the implementation of the field stage, we saw a trend that among the first 500 respondents, the level of trust was 55%, among the second 522 respondents (i.e., those interviewed later) it was already 60%. That is, perhaps immediately after July 22, 2025, there was a somewhat deeper decline in trust, but further, in early August 2025, there was some improvement in the situation (possibly due to actions to repeal the Law and additional focus on issues of international relations / war).