In a best-of-three-set match against prime Serena Williams, what is the cumulative probability of you winning ≥1 point?
13
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0.0% ≤ p ≤ 12.5%
12.5% < p ≤ 25.0%
25.0% < p ≤ 37.5%
37.5% < p ≤ 50.0%
50.0% < p ≤ 62.5%
62.5% < p ≤ 75.0%
75.0% < p ≤ 87.5%
87.5% < p ≤ 100.0%
This is loosely based on a poorly phrased question polled by YouGov in 2019. There is no universally correct answer. Do not ask me if double faults count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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A total beginner managed to win three points against the world #1,026 in a pro tournament: