Accountability: European Commission - Will the EC deliver on these goals and promises?

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Ṁ172

2029

61%

Propose a European AI Research Council (CERN for AI)

57%

By the end of the mandate, energy prices will on average be lower (inflation-adjusted)

54%

More than double Europol's staff over time

53%

The next long-term budget will include a regime of conditionality for the Rule of Law

50%

Triple the number of European Border and Coast Guards to 30,000

50%

Set up a President's Youth Advisory Board with young people from all Member States

50%

Expand the Rule of Law Report to include a Single Market dimension and accession countries

50%

Propose a new European Biotech Act

50%

Respond to all of Parliament's Article 225 resolutions with legislative proposals

41%

Propose a 90% emission-reduction target for 2040 in a European Climate Law

41%

Implement a right to disconnect

41%

Hold European Citizens' Panels every year

41%

Create a pan-European investment platform for affordable and sustainable housing with the European Investment Bank

This question assesses the European Commission's ability to deliver on its key policy objectives and promises. I have for now taken these from the Political Guidelines published by Ursula von der Leyen. Including only goals it has explicitly committed to. Though I hope to add more political goals later.

Note: As specific timelines are not provided for all goals, assume the target completion date is the end of the current EC mandate unless otherwise stated.
"Every year" will mean every FULL year the commission is in office. 2024 and 2029 will not count for this.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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How fitting, all the goals and promises are defined in terms of expanding the bureaucracy rather than real world outcomes.

While I agree it would be good to have some outcome goals as well, I also think it makes sense: The Commission is not a dictator that can just do things; it can only promise to engage with the other institutions in a way. I have also cut out all things that I thought would be difficult to measure, such as the ambitions to cut housing costs, win the Ukraine war, reducing administrative burdens, etc. focussing only on the direct things the Commission can do for now. I will add more outcome based goals once the priorities of the new EC have been published.

If you are curious to hear what VDL has as goals in her own words, I recommend the political guidelines she put out; they are pretty readable: https://commission.europa.eu/document/download/063d44e9-04ed-4033-acf9-639ecb187e87_en?filename=political-guidelines-next-commission_en.pdf

The EU barley has any budget + most of these are a reduction in bureaucracy union wide.

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