Will Donald Trump be the first US President to live in exile? [clarified, by 2030 Halloween]
4
90Ṁ1052030
16%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Donald Trump spend at least a year continuously outside of USA territory while he's wanted there, or otherwise will likely be physically restrained for proceedings or punishment in case of appearance?
Due to the subjectivity involved in the evaluation of risks that Donald Trump may be facing, i won't trade in this market.
Improved version of https://manifold.markets/MikeMorin/will-donald-trump-be-the-first-us-p
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Donald Trump be the first US President to live in exile?
11% chance
Before 2030, will Trump spend 365 consecutive days outside the US?
12% chance
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2026?
89% chance
Where will Donald Trump be in 2030?
Will Donald Trump spend any time in prison before 2030?
6% chance
Trump is US President on December 31, 2026?
89% chance
Will Trump leave United States to avoid prosecution before 2030?
26% chance
Trump will be US President in 2030
10% chance
Will Donald Trump be alive to see 2030?
65% chance
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2027?
80% chance