Will Spindle traunche any markets before the end of 2022?
10
26
แน€190
resolved Dec 21
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if @Spindle buys M$10,000 or more in a single trade in any market between creation time and December 31, 2022 at 11:59 PM Pacific time. Otherwise, resolves NO at close.

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bought แน€20 of NO

TRAUNCHE!

predicted NO

@a On what market?

predicted YES

@kazoo Isaac King's 69% market:

So traunches for less than M$10,000 don't count, even if they're clearly traunches?

predicted NO

@IsaacKing That's the definition Spindle used in their most recent 'traunche' market; I don't know of another objective way to determine whether a trade is a traunche or just a large but genuine trade. I guess I could resolve the market subjectively based on my own intuition of whether something is a traunche, but I'm honestly not the clearest on that myself.

@a Presumably if Spindle describes something as a traunche, it's a traunche.

predicted YES

@IsaacKing itz a lot more rigorous than that. Traunche-scientists have a formal definition that takes many pages to properly explain.

@Spindle Oh, I didn't mean to imply that it was so simplistic as just "what Spindle says becomes the truth". Rather I meant that you're the world's foremost traunche expert, and I think we can safely trust your judgement.