Will the mean score for The Foundation Model Transparency Index be 50% or more by the end of 2025? (current: 37%)
2
70Ṁ8Dec 31
52%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The mean score is a just 37%. Yet, 82 of the indicators are satisfied by at least one developer, meaning that developers can significantly improve transparency by adopting best practices from their competitors.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will any model get above human level on the Simple Bench benchmark before September 1st, 2025.
67% chance
Will an AI score over 80% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
22% chance
Will any AI model achieve > 40% on Frontier Math before 2026?
81% chance
Will any foundation model score 75 or higher on The Foundation Model Transparency Index by the end of 2024? (LLama2: 54)
96% chance
Will the linked market average >= 40% in September 2025?
95% chance
By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?
29% chance
What % will the Project 2025 tracker be at in 2025?
57.7
What will be the best score (5/5 reliability) on ZeroBench by December 31st 2025?
Will any AI model score above 95% on GRAB by the end of 2025?
43% chance
Will any AI model score >80% on Epoch's Frontier Math Benchmark in 2025?
18% chance