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I've recently had the pleasure of finally getting acquainted with the work of one Nassim Nicholas Taleb, which prompted me to think differently about the probability of rare events. Taking the above into consideration, I am officially betting on this market to resolve to YES, putting my mana where my mouth is (skin in the game). Anybody who doubts this market is officially fooled by randomness and is denying the reality of Black Swans.
@JosephNoonan 31 December or 1 April are just as specific. I find picking random dates to close markets at more fun than always having end of month markets
@firstuserhere to add, I always find my balance starts to dwindle towards the end of the month, until all the end-of-month markets resolve. Everybody picking random dates is probably a better norm.