Will Bedrock Galactica or "Gal" sell X units in the first year after launch? | Manifold

Will Bedrock Galactica or "Gal" sell X units in the first year after launch?

Technology•AI•AI Impacts

18

94

Ṁ2K

Ṁ950

Dec 31

1D

1W

1M

ALL

90%

X = 10

87%

X = 100

67%

X = 1000

26%

X = 10,000

7%

X = 100,000

5%

X = 1,000,000

Resolves to each milestone that is crossed.

Get Ṁ200 play money

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What if it never actually launches?

bought Ṁ1 of X = 10 YES

@MitchLindgren Then it sells 0 units and all options resolve to NO

What is the selling price of this device? I see a tag of $500 for ordering and $4500 on delivery. That makes it $5000. Why would ever buy a computer for $5000?

For a single general estimate of total units sold in year 1 :

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