Which US president will be a centenarian?
37
1.3kṀ40403131
22%
Barack Obama
13%
Bill Clinton
12%
Donald Trump
11%
Joe Biden
11%
George W. Bush
Resolved
YESJimmy Carter
I will add future presidents to this market, if they're not already in it. Market resolves YES to each US president who becomes a centenarian. NO to those who do not.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be President of the United States on January 21, 2037?
Will Joe Biden become a centenarian?
9% chance
Will Joe Biden become a centenarian?
10% chance
Will Donald Trump become a centenarian?
5% chance
Which former U.S. President will live longer? Clinton or Bush?
Will the US have a president that's less than 50 years old by the end of 2029?
49% chance
Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?
30% chance
Will Pope Francis become a centenarian?
5% chance
Will an age limit be placed on the US Presidency before 2030?
6% chance
Will Jimmy Carter still hold the record for longest-lived US president at the end of 2075?
78% chance