What's the lowest price at which you could buy an Apple vision pro in 2024? (Resolves to each low that price hits)
What's the lowest price at which you could buy an Apple vision pro in 2024? (Resolves to each low that price hits)
22
1.9kṀ11kDec 31
74%
$3199
31%
$3099
26%
$2999
16%
$2899
14%
$2799
9%
$2699
4%
$2599
2%
$2499
This market is only about new Apple Vision pros, and not refurbished products.
This market is about sales from an authenticated distributer, such as an apple store, or the apple website, or woot etc. This does not refer to individuals distributing the product in the black market or smth.
Anywhere in the world.
If a different product is released by Apple under the Vision Pro branding, then that product will not be counted for this market - only the first gen of the Vision Pro is in the spirit of this market.
You can bet whether a new product will be released by Apple in the Vision Pro line up.
The options are in slashes of $100.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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