By 2028, can AI perform translation as good as a human who is fluent in both languages but unskilled at translation?
7
38
Ṁ138Ṁ170
2028
87%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By 2028, AI can perform translation as good as a human who is fluent in both languages
but unskilled at translation
for most types of text, and
for most popular languages
(including languages that are known to be difficult, like Czech, Chinese and Arabic)
Will this come true?
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
34% chance
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
49% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?
66% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet?
61% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
34% chance
By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?
59% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality novel to a prompt?
52% chance
Will AI extend English before 2031?
47% chance
Will AI enable a successful conversation between a human and a member of a non-human species by the end of 2030?
71% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
36% chance