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MANIFOLD
Will Zvi write a full capabilities report on Gemini 4 Argon?
1
Ṁ1kṀ4
Oct 31
50%
chance

Resolves to YES if Zvi writes a post centered around Gemini 4 Argon before the deadline, that focuses on capabilities. A post primarily about its safety report DOES NOT COUNT.

Resolves to NO if Zvi does not write such a post.

Market will not resolve early to avoid leaking information, except if the post is up and this thus resolves YES.

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