
Will xAI join the voluntary commitment by OpenAI/Anthropic to AISI to share major new models w/AISI prior to release?
43
1kṀ4629resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if xAI enters into the same commitment, and shares their next major model release with the USA AISI in advance, or if xAI announces it will no longer be in the frontier model business.
Resolves to NO if xAI releases Grok 3 or another similarly major frontier model release without sharing with the USA AISI, or deadline passes and no commitment has been made.
(Note: Open/closed status of the model is irrelevant to this market.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ535 | |
| 2 | Ṁ387 | |
| 3 | Ṁ260 | |
| 4 | Ṁ137 | |
| 5 | Ṁ121 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?
2% chance
Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?
10% chance
SOAI#2: A major AI lab leans back into open-sourcing frontier models to win over the current US administration
15% chance
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
24% chance
Which of xAI, Anthropic, and OpenAI will IPO first?