MattY says (at https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1611474129064022021 but that will get deleted soon):

"Either the debt ceiling will be raised and things will be fine, or else the debt ceiling will be ignored through one means or another and Republicans will be able to sue and lose if they want to. But there’s no universe in which the country defaults or they win concessions."

Will I judge that we do indeed live in such a universe, where either (A) we default or (B) the Republicans win concessions?