Will the Aikido MLB model be adapted by Silver Bulletin by April 2026?
7
1kṀ1531
2026
18%
chance

This is one of those Heisenberg markets, where the existence of the market might change the probability. Who knows?

Resolves YES if Silver Bulletin uses a variation of the Aikido model (as described in https://aikidosports.substack.com/ in general and https://aikidosports.substack.com/p/introduction-to-aikido in particular, as the MLB model of Silver Bulletin (or its successor as The Place Nate Silver Posts Stuff).

Resolves NO if this does not happen.

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bought Ṁ500 NO

"No" on the grounds that Nate's recent job posting for an analytical assistant requested a special interest in NFL and NBA modeling

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