Will Daniel Kokotajlo be able to sell his OpenAI equity at the next tender offer?
21
1kṀ30652029
82%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the next time there is a tender offer for OpenAI shares, and Daniel gets evidence that he is or not allowed to sell his equity at the tender price, Daniel is allowed to sell his equity at the tender price, whether or not he ultimately chooses to do so.
Resolves YES if OpenAI equity is permitted to trade outside of tender offers.
Resolves NO if he is not allowed to sell at the tender price at a future tender offer, or if the deadline is reached and we have no evidence that he has been given an opportunity to sell.
(That means the onus is on YES holders to check by then)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI?
3% chance
Will Sam Altman receive a significant equity stake in OpenAI? (>= 3% of the company)
34% chance
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
9% chance
OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit?
55% chance
Will OpenAI IPO before the end of 2025?
6% chance
When will OpenAI have its next funding round?
Will OpenAI be acquired by another company the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will OpenAI or another entity connected to Sam Altman raise at least $5 trillion total by the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of March 2026?
21% chance
Will OpenAI IPO by 2040?
30% chance