
OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit?
2
1kṀ1002027
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market resolves YES if:
Either:
(A) OpenAI conducts a tender offer between 2025-01-01 and 2027-01-01, OR
(B) employees are allowed to convert their PPUs to cash by some other mechanism (e.g., some magic happening if OpenAI goes public; this would, as one particular case, include employee PPUs getting converted into shares tradeable on the public market),
AND:
the conversion rate is at least $20/unit.
The "at least $20/unit" is there because I'm also interested in the question of "will OpenAI undergo some type of corporate existence failure" and "PPU value plumetted 90%" is a proxy.
Resolution based on official company announcements or reliable financial news reporting.
Some references:
I will not trade on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
9% chance
When will OpenAI have its next funding round?
Will OpenAI raise $1+ billion from SoftBank before 2026?
15% chance
OpenAI worth more than Microsoft by mid 2029
15% chance
Open AI will raise money at a valuation greater than $200B by January 1, 2025
2% chance
Will OpenAI IPO before the end of 2025?
6% chance
Will OpenAI or another entity connected to Sam Altman raise at least $5 trillion total by the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will OpenAI reach $12B annualized revenue by end of 2025?
79% chance
OpenAI Stock
63% chance
Will OpenAI reach a valuation of $300B by mid-2026?
79% chance