Will Based Beff Jezos debate a Worthy Opponent by March 15, 2024?
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resolved Jan 29
Resolved
YES

His response to Dwarkesh was here: https://twitter.com/BasedBeffJezos/status/1732168973830238495.

After attacking Dwarkesh in patently false fashion, he indicated his intention to find a 'technical opponent with skin in the game' and suggested Connor Leahy. While he wouldn't be my first pick, he would clearly be a Worthy Opponent, as would be Dan Hendrycks who he previously backed out of a debate with.

To count, it must be a debate or truth-seeking discussion, lasting at least 50 minutes, available on the internet by the deadline, on the subject of the core views expressed by Jezos or on existential risk from AI, against a Worthy Opponent.

I will decide who counts as a Worthy Opponent, but I intend to be pretty generous here, so long as the person can hold up a reasonable argument in this area and holds that existential risk from AI is sufficient that we should do substantial things about it.

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bought Ṁ500 of NO

never seen him attempt to engage seriously with doomer thought, I suspect he might not have a take other than the pro-omnicide angle

predicted NO

@warty omg no way, let's see what it is

bought Ṁ50 of NO

I think >25% chance of backing out. Beff's verbal debate skill is unknown, possibly to he himself, he got famous by tweeting (and mainly by whipping up an audience against a strawman).

bought Ṁ60 of YES

"Debate with Connor is on! [...] Stay tuned for details." https://twitter.com/BasedBeffJezos/status/1732175108201198002

@ZackMDavis can't wait, Connor is very passionate and so is Beff, might be less civil than Eli/Hotz