Will at least one event at Manifest be livestreamed?
16
closes Sep 26
90%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ11 +11%
New probability
90%
As per (https://twitter.com/ManifoldMarkets/status/1699738872085987725) the official account gave this a 30% chance. Resolves to YES if at least one talk or other scheduled event is livestreamed for a minimum of 30 minutes, NO otherwise.
Get Ṁ500 play money
Related questions
Sort by:

David Cheebought Ṁ25 of NO
I was the one who gave it 30% chance. But I'm going to do my best to increase this probability and have already taken steps to do so.
2 replies

@DavidChee I have sent you a managram for M$100. Please use it to acquire a YES position on this market, in order to align your incentives.

Sort by:
0 YES payouts
Ṁ251
Ṁ123
Ṁ70
Ṁ69
Ṁ21
Ṁ16
Ṁ14
Ṁ12
Ṁ12
Ṁ11
Ṁ7
0 NO payouts














