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SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash
40
Ṁ1kṀ4.1k
resolved Oct 11
Resolved
NO

This market resolves to YES or NO as per the 2026 State of AI Report's self grading of its prediction #7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash.

If they do not issue a ruling by EOY 2026, I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording.


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Opus 5.5 thinks this was a hell of a reach and shouldn't count, and I agree. Resolving NO.

bought Ṁ50 NO

I predict that a somewhat popular film will do this, but there won't be a ton of audience praise online outside of high view numbers. (ie, a No resolution.) A lot of viewers will be either ignorant about the behind the scenes details or feel reluctant to praise use of controversial software.

@CommanderZander This but the authors will count as yes to not look bad for having too few good predictions.

bought Ṁ65 NO

"I will resolve by asking Anthropic's best model to evaluate based on their exact wording."

Ah, so it's a new coinflip market

@ChurlishGambit they will probably issue a ruling evaluating their own prediction in time like they did this year. And they graded themselves harshly