By EOY 2026, will iPhones have an AI that has access to and remembers everything you did on your phone?

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Ṁ7206

2026

33%

chance

ALL

Resolves YES if at any point before resolution the newest iPhone model ships with an installed feature or app that, when on, has access to a full record of everything you do on your phone (or a full record once you turn it on), which can be accessed by an AI.

It counts if you can toggle its access to certain apps or activities, or delete data or memory, or if you have to opt in to use it.

It does not count if you have to navigate to the app store and download something to get this to happen.

Resolves NO if this is not true continuously until the deadline.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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to clarify, it must be a full durable log and not merely “at any time the user could trigger an action which gives the AI access to everything during an ultrafinite window”? Must the activities be reconstructable from the log, or would lossy compression such as continuous fine tuning count?

It requires a fully durable log. I would accept reasonable compression.

(However given level of market interest I'm not going to answer corner case questions forever)

Does it count if the full log is only for the AI to see, and the outputs are limited to clearly defined “warnings” like the current iMessage protections for children?

bought Ṁ200 NO

"Everything" sounds like a high bar

Creating an ui-event log seems easy enough, even recording app states at low frequency (~per second, like microsoft's copilot+pc). Though recording at high frequency what each app is displaying seems harder (e.g. you don't want to record a movie the user is watching frame-by-frame, even though it may be nice to know what exactly the user saw 50ms before they clicked pause)

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