MANIFOLD
Will gold crash in 2026?
27
Ṁ100Ṁ866
Dec 31
44%
chance
33

Gold price is defined in USD. I use this for resolving it:

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AIaYMwsW/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD

Crash is defined as:

  • either >=20% drop in any 14 calendar days period or less (including weekends)

  • or >=40% drop in any time period during 2026

If any of those conditions are met, this will resolve as YES.

  • Update 2026-01-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that XAUUSD is the symbol to use, and has indicated that https://goldprice.org/ may be used as an alternative (and potentially more reliable) source for gold prices in addition to the TradingView chart.

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The link does not work for me. Better state the Symbol and Market.

@CerdoDeLaBolsa

XAUUSD I guess. I'm not that proficient with this. There is this gold chart on trading view, but you can also use https://goldprice.org/ which I think is even more reliable when it comes to prices of gold.

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