Gold price is defined in USD. I use this for resolving it:
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AIaYMwsW/?symbol=OANDA%3AXAUUSD
Crash is defined as:
either >=20% drop in any 14 calendar days period or less (including weekends)
or >=40% drop in any time period during 2026
If any of those conditions are met, this will resolve as YES.
Update 2026-01-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that XAUUSD is the symbol to use, and has indicated that https://goldprice.org/ may be used as an alternative (and potentially more reliable) source for gold prices in addition to the TradingView chart.
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Gold only dropped 8%, not the 20% specified.
Or was it 20% for a microsecond and therefore that counts?
@jrmygrdn I explained it in the comment. The question wasn't about sustained drop in price, or bear market or whatever. It was, if it drops 20% or more in 2 weeks or less (in this case in just a couple of days) it's triggered. Or alternatively if there's any period during the year where the price drops for 40% or more, this wasn't triggered, but the question was OR, not AND.
I know it was close, just around 21% drop, but what could I have done? If I didn't resolve it, then people who bet YES would also be let down and could complain the same way. Technically, the price dropped >20% which is enough for this to resolve as yes. I know it lasted just around 15 - 30 minutes, but still. It did happen. Even right now it's 12% below ATH, not 8%. It really depends which chart you use. If you use daily you don't see this kind of volatility. But if it's not explicitly mentioned we use the shortest timeframe (one minute or 1 second), as someone was able to buy or sell at that price.
@AlanTennant Maybe it's volatility, but I precisely defined crash as drop of 20% or more in 2 weeks or less, or 40% and more in any period in 2026. The first criteria was satisfied today, even if it dropped just briefly more than 20% with respect to all time high. But it occurred in just 3 days, so it satisfies time frame as well.
XAUUSD I guess. I'm not that proficient with this. There is this gold chart on trading view, but you can also use https://goldprice.org/ which I think is even more reliable when it comes to prices of gold.
