Will this Martian meteorite sell for >$5 million at auction?
9
1kṀ470
Jul 16
36%
chance

Auction link: Martian Meteorite — NWA 16788

The pre-auction estimate is 2 - 4 million USD. This market resolves YES if the final sale price listed on the Sotheby's website is >5 million USD.

Resolution details

  • Example from a past auction: this painting by Gentilesch has a "price realised" of USD 982,800. This is the equivalent number I will use—whatever is displayed by the auction page.

  • Note that the final listed sale price typically includes the buyer's premium (and potentially other fees).

  • If no sale price is listed after the auction (online or by other media sources), resolves NO by default.

Details

AN INCREDIBLY RARE DISCOVERY – THE LARGEST PIECE OF MARS ON EARTH, EJECTED FROM THE MARTIAN SURFACE BY A MASSIVE ASTEROID STRIKE, JOURNEYED 140 MILLION MILES THROUGH SPACE, AND HURTLED THROUGH EARTH’S ATMOSPHERE BEFORE CRASHING IN THE SAHARA DESERT

Discovered on 16 November 2023 by a meteorite hunter in Niger’s remote Agadez Region, NWA 16788 is approximately 70% larger than the next largest piece of Mars found on Earth. Pieces of Mars are unbelievably rare: of the more than 77,000 officially recognized meteorites, only 400 are Martian meteorites, with an approximate combined weight of 374 kg (825 pounds). Weighing 24.67 kilograms, NWA 16788 represents approximately 6.5% of all Martian material currently known. (Lot essay)

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